April 19, 2013

NBA 2013 Western Conference Preview

With four very intriguing matchups with superstars, rivalries, fallen stars, and players with plenty to prove, every series has a right to be able to call itself the best to watch in the West. And just to rub it in how tough these teams have it, the team’s 3-8 would arguably all be fighting for the two seed if they were playing in the pitiful Eastern Conference (Eastern Conference Playoff Preview)

 Oklahoma City Thunder (1) v Houston Rockets (8).

Jeremy Lin and Harden will have to be beyond their
best to make this series competitive.

The beard that is James Harden will be looking to show his former employers just what they are missing. After trading Harden to the Rockets, the Thunder actually has a better winning percentage this year (72%) compared to last year (71%). Harden will be playing run and gun to try and outscore the Thunder, but Serge Ibaka will help the interior defence, and the Thunder will have no trouble scoring either, with the Rockets offering very little in perimeter defence to stop Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. The Thunder will roll
Thunder 4-1.

 San Antonio Spurs (2) v Los Angeles Lakers (7)
This is not a typical two v seven series. The amount of experience in this series is huge, and it will be a chess match. The Lakers look like they have finally found a way to play (funny that it took Kobe to get injured to happen), and the Spurs have been very rusty in April. If Dwight Howard can look after Tim Duncan – which I think he will, this series will rest on Tony Parker and Steve Nash. Parker has been slow to come back from injury, and Nash just needs to stay on the floor. I can see this going to the seventh game, but with Mike D’Antoni taking a full season to figure out how to use Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol (one of the most gifted, unselfish big men to ever play the game) together, I can’t see D’Antoni out coaching Gregg Popovich in a game seven in San Antonio.
Spurs 4-3.

Denver Nuggets (3) v Golden State Warriors (6)
Curry will be the key to
this series.
What is the over/under for total points each game? I would say the line is about 227-228. This should be a really fun series. The Nuggets will look to take advantage of their ridiculous good home court record and the Warriors will look to ride on Stephen Curry’s great form. Let me put my case forward for the Warriors. The Nuggets have a great home record because of their altitude – teams aren’t used to it. In a seven game series – you get used to it. Usually the best player in the series is on the winning team. Unless Ty Lawson can evolve or Andre Iguodala can show he is the man, Steph Curry is going to carry the Warriors and the crazy Oracle crowd into the second round.
Warriors 4-2.

Los Angeles Clippers (4) v Memphis Grizzlies (5)
After an epic seven game series last year, we are back again for a blood bath! This should be an extremely physical series, played by two very good teams. It is hard to call with Memphis having such a strong front court in Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph, not to mention Tony Allen being a great one-on-one defender to try and stop Chris Paul. Chris Paul. He’s going to be just too good in the closing stretches. These games are all going to be close, and to have such a great decision maker in CP3 deciding these outcomes, it’s hard to go against the home team and CP3. Hack a griffin maybe?
Clippers 4-3.

Conference Semi-finals.

Thunder (1) v Clippers (4).
This should be a more competitive series than the Thunder endured against the Rockets. The Clippers will be fired up after outlasting a great Grizzlies team. The Thunder will be looking to take advantage of Blake Griffin’s inefficiency from mid-range by forcing him out of the paint. Westbrook will be doing his utmost to try and curtail CP3’s play. The Clippers will try and get Ibaka into foul trouble early so Griffin can dominate down low. Unfortunately, I don’t think the Clippers have enough to stop Durant, and I think their gruelling first round series will take its toll in the end. The Thunder will roll.
Thunder 4-1.

 Spurs (2) v Warriors (6).
In a contrast in style, the Spurs will look to control the tempo of the series throughout. Parker, Duncan, and co will try and slow down the up-tempo Warriors. I can see the Spurs getting slightly sucked in to the Warriors style for certain periods of time, with Parker and Manu Ginobili having a bit of fun in this series. Pop and Duncan will see this doesn’t last into crunch-time though. I can see the Warriors stealing game two at the AT & T and then going 2-1 up in the series after winning their first game at the Oracle. However I think the Spurs win game four, game five at home, and then they might even clinch the series away in game six. If not, it’ll be an easy home win in game seven.
Spurs 4-2.

Conference Finals.

Thunder (1) v Spurs (2).
Durant and Westbrook will again represent the Thunder and
the Western Conference in the NBA Finals.
In a rematch of last year’s Western Conference Finals, the Thunder will be looking to repeat their victory from last year. Last year the Spurs held home court and went 2-0 up, the Thunder were able to roll off the next four to reach the NBA Finals. This year the Thunder have home court and there is no reason to think this series will go any other way, The Spurs have had two tough series while the Thunder have rolled their way into the Conference Finals. The Spurs will need to be at their offensive best to keep up with the Thunder and Parker will have to have his best series yet. The Thunder are just too strong on offence and defence, and they will make their second straight trip to the NBA Finals where Lebron, Wade, and the rest of the Miami Heat lie in wake. The Thunder will roll.
Thunder 4-2.

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